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Future demand for new cars in developing countries going beyond GDP and population size.
In this study we first modeled the effects of GDP and population size on sales of new cars in 2006 for the following 25 developing countries: Algeria, Argentina, Brazil, China, Chile, Columbia, Egypt, Hungary, India, Indonesia, Iran, Malaysia, Mexico, Pakistan, Peru, Philippines, Poland, Romania,...
Market models for predicting PHEV adoption and diffusion
This is the final report on market models for predicting Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicles (PHEV) adoption. The work was one of the tasks carried out by the University of Michigan on the technical challenges of PHEVs and impacts to the U.S. power system. We first examine benchmark market models with...
Fixing Detroit: how far, how fast, how fuel efficient
The Automotive Industry Crisis of 2009 is the worst the industry has ever experienced. This paper helps resolve the debate on how much and fast it should change and how it should it respond to demands for increased fuel efficiency. Looking at the actions of successful corporate turnarounds, the...
Economic indicators as predictors of the number and fuel economy of purchased new vehicles
This study examined the relationship between two economic indicators-the unemployment rate and the price of gasoline-and purchase decisions of new vehicle buyers. Two regression analyses were performed, one focusing on the number of vehicles purchased and the other one on their fuel economy. Both...
PHEV marketplace penetration An agent based simulation.
Energy security and climate change issues have increased the call for improved energy efficiency from all sectors of the economy, especially the transportation sector. While vehicle manufacturers can in principle make their current vehicle offerings more fuel efficient, historically they have not...
High efficiency trucks new revenues, new jobs, and improved fuel economy in the medium and heavy truck fleet.
The move to high efficiency trucks can lead to new revenues and jobs for companies involved in the development and marketing of the technologies needed to make this transition. But in order for the medium and heavy truck industry to make this transition, there will be a number of barriers to...
Alternative powertrain strategies and fleet turnover in the 21st century
The changes taking place in the global automotive industry related to alternative powertrains and fuels are affecting each country or region differently. Each country or region has its own policies in place to monitor and manage vehicle fuel consumption and emissions. Countries or regions also have...
Predicting vehicle sales from GDP in 48 countries: 2005-2011.
This study examined the relationship between GDP and vehicle sales in 48 developed and developing countries during the years 2005 through 2011. The countries examined were Argentina, Australia, Austria, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, Chile, China, Colombia, Czech Republic, Denmark, Egypt, Finland, France...